Predictive validity of the YLS/CMI in a sample of Portuguese young offenders

The Youth Level of Service/Case Management Inventory (YLS/CMI) is a
widely used risk assessment instrument that comprehensively assesses risk
factors and criminogenic needs among young individuals. This study explores
the association between YLS/CMI scores and subsequent recidivism among
608 Portuguese young offenders aged 12 to 18 years. The results support
the predictive validity of the YLS/CMI in assessing recidivism among young
offenders. The study found significant connections between YLS/CMI scores
and recidivism for Placement in an Education Center (PEC) measures,
indicating higher scores correlated with increased reoffending likelihood.
However, no significant association was found between YLS/CMI scores
and recidivism in Educational Supervision (ES) measures. These results
emphasize the need to consider specific measures when gauging YLS/CMI’s
predictive validity.